“They thought they could suppress gold and silver forever. Basel III is the ticking time bomb they can’t defuse. Here’s why the real breakout is closer than they want you to believe — and why physical stackers are about to win big.”
Since the end of the gold standard in 1971, two parallel markets have developed:
The physical gold market, held by individuals, central banks, and jewelers. The paper gold market, based on futures contracts, ETFs, and speculative options, mostly in the West.
For over 50 years, major American and British banks (especially through COMEX and LBMA) have used this “paper market” to influence the displayed gold price and mask the real erosion of trust in the US dollar and the global financial system.
Until now, it worked.
But today, multiple forces are converging, challenging the sustainability of this manipulation.
1. Basel III: The Countdown
Basel III, a new set of banking regulations, fully kicks in by July 2025.
For the first time, it clearly distinguishes between:
Allocated physical gold, which will be treated as a “zero-risk” asset, similar to cash. Unallocated paper gold (futures, non-physical ETFs), which will be penalized heavily.
In other words: banks will no longer be able to sell massive amounts of “paper gold” without physically holding real gold reserves.
Until now, thousands of ounces of “promised” gold circulated the markets, while only a small fraction actually existed in vaults.
With Basel III, this leveraged illusion must end.
2. Can They Postpone Basel III Again?
Technically, yes.
But politically and financially, it would be a disaster.
Another delay would immediately send a strong message worldwide:
“The banking system is weaker than we are admitting.”
Today, with the explosion of social media like Twitter (X), Reddit, YouTube, TikTok, such a signal would spread virally and uncontrollably.
Major financial influencers would immediately denounce it as proof that the fiat monetary system is in deep trouble.
Ironically, postponing Basel III could trigger a massive rush into gold and silver, accelerating the very crisis that banks hoped to prevent.
3. Where Are We Really with Gold Prices?
Today, at the end of April 2025, gold trades around $3,300 per ounce.
Since 2015, gold prices have risen at an average rate of around 20% per year.
However, the current context is far more explosive.
If Basel III is implemented as planned, and if the global de-dollarization trend continues (BRICS alliances, Asian gold reserves), a price increase of 30% to 60% within a year would be realistic.
In the event of a total collapse of confidence in the dollar or a systemic banking crisis, gold could easily triple, reaching $10,000 per ounce in the medium term.
It’s an extreme scenario — but economically defensible.
4. Physical Silver: The Sleeping Giant
While gold is advancing, silver seems stuck around $32 per ounce.
This is abnormal.
Historically, silver follows gold’s major moves — sometimes with a lag, but often with higher percentage gains.
Today, the gold/silver ratio stands at about 103.
This is a historically extreme level, showing that silver is massively undervalued relative to gold.
Why this disconnect?
Ongoing heavy manipulation in the paper silver market to suppress prices. Industrial demand concerns amid a potential global recession. Institutional investors focusing on gold first before moving into silver.
Yet underneath the surface, physical silver demand remains strong. COMEX and LBMA silver inventories are at historical lows.
When gold accelerates violently, silver typically follows — with even sharper gains.
The potential for an explosive silver move remains high, but patience is required.
5. 2025: The Year of the Great Shift?
We may be just months away from a historic financial shift:
If Basel III is implemented, physical gold demand will explode, revealing the shortage of real metal compared to paper promises. If Basel III is delayed, the resulting panic and distrust will push investors into gold and silver even faster. Silver is a slow-burning fuse, but it is primed for a massive breakout once the right spark ignites.
In either case, physical ownership will be king.
Market “spot prices” could become secondary to the real availability of coins and bars.
Final Conclusion
The system has successfully hidden gold and silver’s true value for 50 years.
But in 2025, with social media influence, real-time information flow, the rise of the BRICS countries, and dollar fragility, maintaining the illusion is becoming nearly impossible.
Whether Basel III is implemented or delayed, the awakening of gold and silver markets appears inevitable.
Patience, strategy, and understanding the bigger picture will be key to navigating this end of cycle event.
submitted by /u/Joe_L_indien
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